Glenn Olson MBA Broker Realtor®

eReal@GlennOlson.com

San Diego, California
On-Line Real Estate

Boating On Mission Bay

"Give Your Idea A Home" 

San Diego Area News

Home sales in 2004 will continue strong, albeit slower than 2003. Only 23% of population can afford median price home, due to potential higher interest rates and decline in high-paying jobs, 15% in San Diego. Condominium conversions will be more popular, up to 3,000 in 2003. Average vacancy rates are predicted to stay under 4.5% in 2003 and 3.5% in 2004, which means rent growth of around 2.6%
Average Rent - $1,160/month
Average Vacancy - 3.8%
Source - Hendricks&Partners-Forecast2003 more...



What's Going On With Insurance?
Affordability and availability of insurance may be more important than find a loan and it affects buyers and sellers. A number of factors may enter in to obtaining insurance including claims, acceptable C.L.U.E. report, absentee ownership (condos), equity, and cost.
request more info...

CAR 2004 Forecast
Price appreciation will increase by 21% and sales to decline by 2%, and the market will continue to be driven by strong demographics and higher, though historically low, interest rates in 2004. "Strengthening economic conditions should drive job growth and household incomes should head upwards, adding fuel to the housing market..."

January, 2004

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San Diego Population
2,908,100 - 1% Growth

San Diego Employment
1,227,700 - 0.4% Growth
Source- Hendricks&Partners-Forecast2003

Real Estate Statistics

San Diego median price
$385,00 to 416,148
Pacific Beach $607,790
Calif. Condos $291,810
San Diego Condos $283,589
Pacific Beach Condos $395,000
Source – CAR and Sandicor® Nov/03

CA Affordability

Median price-$381,200
Monthly P&I payment-$1,795
Qualifying Income-$89,340
Housing Affordability - 24
In San Diego - 16

Source - NAR 3rd Qtr '03



Loan Market

15-yr Fixed Loan @ 4.75% in San Diego 1/11/04
30-yr Fixed Loan @ 5.25% in San Diego 1/11/04
10-yr Treasury yield @ 4.08% on 12/20/03

Source – HSH Associates more... or check @ Interest.com

Mortgate loan applications are up. 12/20/03 Source: CAR

The median number of days on the market for …..
The typically monthly mortgage payment that Southland buyers paid
was $1,519 in Octoberl.
Homes continued to sell in Southern California at near record levels
in October while the median price reached a new peak, the result of
steady demand and low mortgage interest rates.
Source - Dataquick more...

The U.S. Dept. of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) recent announcement. The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) has increased its single-family home mortgage limits. Effective Jan. 1, 2004, FHA will insure single-family home mortgages up to $160,176 in low-cost areas and up to $290,319 in high-cost areas. That means conforming loans will increase.

Real Estate News & Resource Links

Realty Times News - News
rismedia - Real Estate News
globest -
Globe Street News
inman -
Inman News and Mortgage Resource
nolo -
Real Estate Legal Resource
California Assoc. of Realtors - State News

DataQuick - Real Estate News

Economic Outlook San Diego
“Despite the high-tech slowdown, business prospects in the West continue to shine.” San Diego was ranked #1 in the 4th annual Forbes/Milken Institute Best Places for Business and Careers. Why? Because of it’s industrial diversity, a mix of strong companies within a broad technology base, one of the largest collections of biotech companies, a ready supply of students from local colleges and universities, and based on a 5 year GDP growth study. It showed a 21% job growth, and 86% growth in High-Tech.


Source – Forbes Magazine Online

Mortgage or Creditline?
Some borrowers are turning to Home-Equity. Be careful, these are tied to the prime rate, unlike mortgages which vary with the 10-year Treasurey Bond. You can write off up to $100,000 on the home-equity line and rates are as low as 3.5% now. The rates will rise rapidly if the Fed increases short term interest.

mediatest

This is not good for long term loans (over 2-3 years). Better to check with local credit union, savings and loan, bank and brokerage firm for good deals. Also, you may get a lower rate with automatic payment from your checking account. If considering a credit-line, look at the fees (intial, monthly and early payment).

Source - The Wall Street Journal 9/24/2003